Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 76.82%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Chester FC had a probability of 8.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.36%) and 1-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.96%), while for a Chester FC win it was 0-1 (2.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
