Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
