Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
