Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 57.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 20.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.