Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
