Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Guiseley had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Guiseley win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Boston United in this match.
