Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
