Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
