Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
