Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Concord Rangers win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Concord Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
