Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 17.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
