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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
LFF Stadium, Vilnius
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Lithuania
0 - 4
Switzerland

 
FT(HT: 0-3)
Embolo (31', 45'), Steffen (42'), Gavranovic (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 23.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Lithuania win it was 1-0 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Switzerland would win this match.

Result
LithuaniaDrawSwitzerland
23.59%24.59%51.82%
Both teams to score 51.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.72%50.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.77%72.23%
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.01%35.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.24%72.76%
Switzerland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.61%19.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.81%51.19%
Score Analysis
    Lithuania 23.59%
    Switzerland 51.81%
    Draw 24.59%
LithuaniaDrawSwitzerland
1-0 @ 7.13%
2-1 @ 5.98%
2-0 @ 3.64%
3-1 @ 2.04%
3-2 @ 1.67%
3-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 23.59%
1-1 @ 11.69%
0-0 @ 6.98%
2-2 @ 4.9%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.59%
0-1 @ 11.44%
1-2 @ 9.6%
0-2 @ 9.39%
1-3 @ 5.25%
0-3 @ 5.13%
2-3 @ 2.68%
1-4 @ 2.15%
0-4 @ 2.11%
2-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 51.81%

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