Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 23.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Lithuania win it was 1-0 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Switzerland would win this match.