SM
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 82.47%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 5.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.52%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.53%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 0-1 (1.92%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sweden | Draw | Azerbaijan |
82.47% ( -0.04) | 11.69% ( 0.03) | 5.84% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.7% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.66% ( -0.09) | 31.33% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.21% ( -0.11) | 52.78% ( 0.11) |
| Sweden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.37% ( -0.03) | 5.62% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.2% ( -0.07) | 21.8% ( 0.07) |
| Azerbaijan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.42% ( -0.04) | 51.57% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.27% ( -0.03) | 85.72% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sweden | Draw | Azerbaijan |
| 2-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.63% ( -0)4-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0)6-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)7-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 82.46% | 1-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.63% ( -0)Other @ 0.63% Total : 11.69% | 0-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.83% ( 0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 5.84% |
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