Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
