Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 81.23%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 5.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.94%) and 1-0 (12.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.18%), while for a Warrenpoint Town win it was 0-1 (2.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
