Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 59.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 17.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Warrenpoint Town win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
