SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 22.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.89%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Larne |
22.79% ( 0.06) | 25.16% ( 0.01) | 52.05% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 48.99% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.73% ( 0.02) | 53.27% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.17% ( 0.01) | 74.82% ( -0.02) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.6% ( 0.07) | 38.4% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.85% ( 0.06) | 75.15% ( -0.06) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.53% ( -0.02) | 20.47% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.06% ( -0.03) | 52.93% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Larne |
| 1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.54% Total : 22.79% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.89% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 9.47% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.23% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.01% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.59% Total : 52.04% |
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