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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.09%) and 3-2 (5.22%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
49.39% ( -0.25) | 20.37% ( -0.14) | 30.24% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 72.95% ( 0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75% ( 0.94) | 24.99% ( -0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.09% ( 1.21) | 44.91% ( -1.21) |
| Southampton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.01% ( 0.27) | 10.99% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.74% ( 0.58) | 35.25% ( -0.58) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.95% ( 0.68) | 18.04% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.05% ( 1.14) | 48.94% ( -1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.19)1-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.05)Other @ 4.42% Total : 49.39% | 1-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.82% Total : 20.37% | 1-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.06)0-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.06)3-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.57% Total : 30.24% |
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