Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-23s win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Aston Villa Under-23s had a probability of 38.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.14%) and 3-1 (4.83%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
