Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-23s win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for Southampton Under-23s had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.29%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Southampton Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
