Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 69.36%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 12.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Southampton Under-21s win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
-0) 
0) 
