Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-23s win with a probability of 54.38%. A win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 24.3% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 1-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Southampton Under-23s	Draw	Sunderland Under-23s
54.38%	21.32%	24.3%

Both teams to score 63.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.18%

34.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.21%

56.79%

Southampton Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.06%

12.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.61%

39.39%

Sunderland Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.06%

26.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.72%

62.28%

Score Analysis

Southampton Under-23s 54.38%

Sunderland Under-23s 24.3%

Draw 21.32%

Southampton Under-23s	Draw	Sunderland Under-23s
2-1 @ 9.56% 2-0 @ 7.29% 1-0 @ 7.13% 3-1 @ 6.52% 3-0 @ 4.97% 3-2 @ 4.27% 4-1 @ 3.33% 4-0 @ 2.54% 4-2 @ 2.19% 5-1 @ 1.36% 5-0 @ 1.04% 4-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.23% Total : 54.38%	1-1 @ 9.35% 2-2 @ 6.27% 0-0 @ 3.49% 3-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.32%	1-2 @ 6.13% 0-1 @ 4.57% 0-2 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.74% 1-3 @ 2.68% 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.87% Total : 24.3%