SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 62.47%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Everton had a probability of 16.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Everton win it was 1-0 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Arsenal |
16.82% ( 0.3) | 20.71% ( 0.12) | 62.47% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 53.29% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.3% ( 0.03) | 42.7% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.9% ( 0.03) | 65.1% ( -0.03) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.32% ( 0.39) | 38.68% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.58% ( 0.37) | 75.42% ( -0.37) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.91% ( -0.11) | 13.09% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.29% ( -0.23) | 39.71% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Arsenal |
| 1-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.12% Total : 16.82% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.71% | 0-2 @ 10.46% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.06)1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 7.1% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 6.74% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 3.61% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 3.43% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.47% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.21% Total : 62.46% |
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