Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Southampton
45.91% ( -0.01)	25.49% ( -0)	28.6% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 53.23% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.74% (

0.02)

50.26% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.79% (

0.02)

72.21% (

-0.02)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.12% (

0.01)

21.88% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.87% (

0.01)

55.13% (

-0.01)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.14% (

0.02)

31.86% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.7% (

0.02)

68.3% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Brentford 45.91%

Southampton 28.6%

Draw 25.48%

Brentford	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.21% 2-0 @ 8.05% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.91%	1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.48%	0-1 @ 7.97% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 28.6%