SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 70.48%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 11.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.4%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-0 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Manchester City |
11.38% ( -0.04) | 18.14% ( -0.03) | 70.48% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.21% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.82% ( 0.04) | 43.18% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.43% ( 0.04) | 65.57% ( -0.04) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.06% ( -0.04) | 46.94% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.56% ( -0.03) | 82.44% ( 0.03) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.98% ( 0.03) | 11.02% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.68% ( 0.06) | 35.32% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | Manchester City |
| 1-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 11.38% | 1-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.74% Total : 18.14% | 0-2 @ 12.58% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.51% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 9.25% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 7% ( 0)0-4 @ 5.1% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.86% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0)0-5 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.7% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 3.72% Total : 70.48% |
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