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Premier League | Gameweek 26
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Emirates Stadium
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Arsenal
3 - 2
Bournemouth

Partey (62'), White (70'), Nelson (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Billing (1'), Senesi (57')
Neto (64'), Mepham (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 4-0 Everton
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-4 Man City
Saturday, February 25 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 82.61%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 5.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.25%) and 4-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.4%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (1.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawBournemouth
82.61% (3.765 3.77) 11.49% (-1.904 -1.9) 5.9% (-1.858 -1.86)
Both teams to score 47.08% (-2.856 -2.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.08% (1.965 1.97)29.91% (-1.962 -1.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.91% (2.335 2.34)51.09% (-2.332 -2.33)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.67% (1.08 1.08)5.32% (-1.0771 -1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.05% (3.058 3.06)20.94% (-3.055 -3.06)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.73% (-3.624 -3.62)50.27% (3.627 3.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.15% (-2.627 -2.63)84.84% (2.63 2.63)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 82.6%
    Bournemouth 5.9%
    Draw 11.49%
ArsenalDrawBournemouth
2-0 @ 11.51% (0.24 0.24)
3-0 @ 11.25% (0.92 0.92)
4-0 @ 8.25% (1.15 1.15)
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.684 -0.68)
1-0 @ 7.85% (-0.356 -0.36)
3-1 @ 7.74% (-0.141 -0.14)
4-1 @ 5.68% (0.259 0.26)
5-0 @ 4.84% (0.936 0.94)
5-1 @ 3.33% (0.352 0.35)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.344 -0.34)
6-0 @ 2.37% (0.577 0.58)
4-2 @ 1.95% (-0.113 -0.11)
6-1 @ 1.63% (0.263 0.26)
5-2 @ 1.15% (0.01 0.01)
7-0 @ 0.99% (0.289 0.29)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 82.6%
1-1 @ 5.4% (-0.859 -0.86)
2-2 @ 2.72% (-0.557 -0.56)
0-0 @ 2.68% (-0.309 -0.31)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 11.49%
1-2 @ 1.86% (-0.53 -0.53)
0-1 @ 1.84% (-0.436 -0.44)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 5.9%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Arsenal 4-0 Everton
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 0-1 Arsenal
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-4 Arsenal
Saturday, February 18 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 1-3 Man City
Wednesday, February 15 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 1-1 Brentford
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 1-0 Arsenal
Saturday, February 4 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-4 Man City
Saturday, February 25 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 0-1 Bournemouth
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-1 Newcastle
Saturday, February 11 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Bournemouth
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 2-0 Bournemouth
Saturday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Premier League


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