SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 82.61%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 5.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.25%) and 4-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.4%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (1.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Bournemouth |
82.61% ( 3.77) | 11.49% ( -1.9) | 5.9% ( -1.86) |
| Both teams to score 47.08% ( -2.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.08% ( 1.97) | 29.91% ( -1.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.91% ( 2.34) | 51.09% ( -2.33) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.67% ( 1.08) | 5.32% ( -1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.05% ( 3.06) | 20.94% ( -3.06) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.73% ( -3.62) | 50.27% ( 3.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.15% ( -2.63) | 84.84% ( 2.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 2-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.92)4-0 @ 8.25% ( 1.15)2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.68)1-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.36)3-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.26)5-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.94)5-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.35)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.34)6-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.58)4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.11)6-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.26)5-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)7-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.29)Other @ 3.5% Total : 82.6% | 1-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.86) 2-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.56)0-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.31)Other @ 0.69% Total : 11.49% | 1-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.53) 0-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.44)Other @ 2.2% Total : 5.9% |
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