SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Leicester City |
44.41% ( 1.99) | 25.06% ( -0.22) | 30.53% ( -1.77) |
| Both teams to score 55.76% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.53% ( 0.28) | 47.47% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.31% ( 0.26) | 69.68% ( -0.26) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.6% ( 1.05) | 21.39% ( -1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.62% ( 1.59) | 54.38% ( -1.59) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.94% ( -1.03) | 29.06% ( 1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.03% ( -1.29) | 64.97% ( 1.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Leicester City |
| 1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.37)3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.51% Total : 44.41% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.28)0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.2)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.53% |
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