Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa	Draw	Leicester City
44.41% ( 1.99)	25.06% ( -0.22)	30.53% ( -1.77)

Both teams to score 55.76% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.53% (

0.28)

47.47% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.31% (

0.26)

69.68% (

-0.26)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.6% (

1.05)

21.39% (

-1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.62% (

1.59)

54.38% (

-1.59)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.94% (

-1.03)

29.06% (

1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.03% (

-1.29)

64.97% (

1.28)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa 44.41%

Leicester City 30.53%

Draw 25.05%

Aston Villa	Draw	Leicester City
1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.51% Total : 44.41%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.05%	0-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.2) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.53%