SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Manchester United |
40.67% ( 0.04) | 23.36% ( -0.05) | 35.97% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.76% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.17% ( 0.23) | 37.83% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.92% ( 0.25) | 60.08% ( -0.24) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.96% ( 0.11) | 19.03% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.39% ( 0.19) | 50.61% ( -0.18) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.75% ( 0.11) | 21.25% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.83% ( 0.17) | 54.17% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 3.45% Total : 40.67% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.36% | 1-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 35.97% |
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