SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 54.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 22.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Brentford |
54.85% ( -0.16) | 22.71% ( 0.03) | 22.45% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 56.27% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.59% ( -0.01) | 43.42% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.19% ( -0.01) | 65.81% ( 0.01) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.27% ( -0.05) | 15.73% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.17% ( -0.1) | 44.83% ( 0.11) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.78% ( 0.11) | 33.22% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.17% ( 0.12) | 69.83% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Brentford |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 54.85% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.23% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.7% | 1-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 22.45% |
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