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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 57.9%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 21.06% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 1-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (5.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
57.9% ( -0.78) | 21.04% ( 0.36) | 21.06% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 60.08% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.54% ( -1.1) | 37.46% ( 1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.31% ( -1.2) | 59.69% ( 1.2) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.23% ( -0.57) | 12.77% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.95% ( -1.2) | 39.05% ( 1.2) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.88% ( -0.24) | 31.12% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.55% ( -0.28) | 67.45% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.08)1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.91% Total : 57.9% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.04% | 1-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.7% Total : 21.06% |
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