Chelsea
1 - 1
Southampton

Chelsea win 4-3 on penalties

Havertz (44')

FT
(aet)

Adams (47')
Diallo (23'), Djenepo (80'), Forster (90+1')

Tuchel relieved after "intense" EFL Cup win for Chelsea

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 64.26%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 16.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (4.57%).

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Southampton
64.26%	19.37%	16.37%

Both teams to score 57.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.68%

37.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.47%

59.53%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.02%

10.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.76%

35.23%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.06%

35.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.28%

72.71%

Score Analysis

Chelsea 64.26%

Southampton 16.37%

Draw 19.37%

Chelsea	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 9.85% 2-0 @ 9.63% 1-0 @ 8.72% 3-1 @ 7.26% 3-0 @ 7.09% 4-1 @ 4.01% 4-0 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 3.71% 4-2 @ 2.05% 5-1 @ 1.77% 5-0 @ 1.73% 5-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.61% Total : 64.26%	1-1 @ 8.92% 2-2 @ 5.04% 0-0 @ 3.95% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.37%	1-2 @ 4.57% 0-1 @ 4.04% 0-2 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.72% 1-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.42% Total : 16.37%