Chelsea
4 - 0
Malmo

Christensen (9'), Jorginho (21' pen., 57' pen.), Havertz (48')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Nielsen (19'), Christiansen (53'), Larsson (55')

Build‑up

Chelsea boss Tuchel comments on Lukaku, Werner injuries

Chelsea's Werner, Lukaku both suffer injuries versus Malmo

Chelsea's Lukaku suffers injury in Champions League fixture

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Malmo had a probability of 17.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Malmo win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Malmo
56.98%	25.38%	17.64%

Both teams to score 41.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.44%

59.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.1%

79.9%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.02%

20.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.26%

53.74%

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.3%

47.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.99%

83.01%

Score Analysis

Chelsea 56.97%

Malmo 17.64%

Draw 25.36%

Chelsea	Draw	Malmo
1-0 @ 15.62% 2-0 @ 12.2% 2-1 @ 9.03% 3-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 4.7% 4-0 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.74% Other @ 3.01% Total : 56.97%	1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 10% 2-2 @ 3.34% Other @ 0.46% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 7.41% 1-2 @ 4.28% 0-2 @ 2.74% 1-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.15% Total : 17.64%