Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Malmo had a probability of 17.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Malmo win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
