Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 66.79%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 15.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
0) 
