Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 69.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 11.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.72%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
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