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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Manchester United |
28.26% ( -0.7) | 25.46% ( 0.12) | 46.28% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 53.1% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.67% ( -0.88) | 50.32% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.73% ( -0.78) | 72.27% ( 0.78) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.85% ( -0.97) | 32.15% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.37% ( -1.12) | 68.63% ( 1.12) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.26% ( -0.11) | 21.74% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.08% ( -0.16) | 54.92% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Manchester United |
| 1-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.68% Total : 28.26% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 9.24% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.36% Total : 46.28% |
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