SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 53.04%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Crystal Palace |
53.04% ( -0.16) | 22.72% ( 0.09) | 24.24% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.48% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.47% ( -0.32) | 41.53% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.07% ( -0.33) | 63.93% ( 0.33) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.32% ( -0.17) | 15.68% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.27% ( -0.32) | 44.73% ( 0.32) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.36% ( -0.11) | 30.64% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.11% ( -0.13) | 66.88% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Crystal Palace |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.63% Total : 53.04% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.71% | 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 24.24% |
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