Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 55.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 21.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.