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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 17.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.48%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-0 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Arsenal |
17.63% ( 0.05) | 21.41% ( 0.01) | 60.96% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.61% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.57% ( 0.05) | 44.43% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.2% ( 0.05) | 66.8% ( -0.05) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.24% ( 0.09) | 38.75% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.51% ( 0.09) | 75.49% ( -0.09) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.9% ( -0.01) | 14.09% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.29% ( -0.01) | 41.71% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Arsenal |
| 1-0 @ 5.18% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 17.63% | 1-1 @ 10.14% 0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.41% | 0-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 10.48% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.85% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 6.49% 0-4 @ 3.36% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.18% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.32% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 60.95% |
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