Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
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