SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Everton had a probability of 22.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Everton win it was 1-0 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Newcastle United |
22.77% ( -0.07) | 24.16% ( -0.08) | 53.07% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.99% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.7% ( 0.24) | 49.3% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.65% ( 0.22) | 71.35% ( -0.21) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.81% ( 0.07) | 36.19% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.02% ( 0.07) | 72.98% ( -0.06) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.48% ( 0.15) | 18.52% ( -0.15) |
