SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Everton had a probability of 22.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Everton win it was 1-0 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Newcastle United |
22.77% ( -0.07) | 24.16% ( -0.08) | 53.07% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.99% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.7% ( 0.24) | 49.3% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.65% ( 0.22) | 71.35% ( -0.21) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.81% ( 0.07) | 36.19% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.02% ( 0.07) | 72.98% ( -0.06) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.48% ( 0.15) | 18.52% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.25% ( 0.25) | 49.75% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 22.77% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.15% | 0-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 9.53% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.45% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 5.36% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.3% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.26% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.26% Total : 53.06% |
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