Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 86.07%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 4.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 4-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.22%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (1.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
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