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Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 16, 2022 at 3pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
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Southampton
1 - 0
Arsenal

Bednarek (44')
Broja (56'), Long (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

White (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

We said: Southampton 1-3 Arsenal

Even if Lacazette does miss out this weekend, Arsenal have plenty of other attacking outlets for goals and assists and ought to have taken notice of Southampton's complete lack of defensive discipline in the Chelsea loss. The Gunners' own key absentees and confidence issues should lead to a sense of belief within Hasenhuttl's ranks that they can end their own barren run, but anything other than three points could prove fatal in Arsenal's top-four bid, and we have faith in Arteta's side to return to winning ways. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 56.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 20.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-0 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawArsenal
20.84%22.42%56.74%
Both teams to score 54.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.89%44.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.51%66.49%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.87%35.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.12%71.88%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.66%15.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.91%44.09%
Score Analysis
    Southampton 20.84%
    Arsenal 56.74%
    Draw 22.41%
SouthamptonDrawArsenal
1-0 @ 5.64%
2-1 @ 5.53%
2-0 @ 2.95%
3-1 @ 1.93%
3-2 @ 1.81%
3-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 20.84%
1-1 @ 10.56%
0-0 @ 5.39%
2-2 @ 5.18%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.41%
0-1 @ 10.1%
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-2 @ 9.47%
1-3 @ 6.19%
0-3 @ 5.92%
2-3 @ 3.24%
1-4 @ 2.9%
0-4 @ 2.78%
2-4 @ 1.52%
1-5 @ 1.09%
0-5 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 56.74%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Southampton 0-6 Chelsea
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 1-1 Southampton
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-4 Man City
Sunday, March 20 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Watford
Sunday, March 13 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Newcastle
Thursday, March 10 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 4-0 Southampton
Saturday, March 5 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 1-2 Brighton
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 3-0 Arsenal
Monday, April 4 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-1 Arsenal
Saturday, March 19 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 Liverpool
Wednesday, March 16 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Leicester
Sunday, March 13 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Watford 2-3 Arsenal
Sunday, March 6 at 2pm in Premier League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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