SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (5.59%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Liverpool in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Liverpool |
37% ( -4.46) | 23.86% ( 0.84) | 39.14% ( 3.62) |
| Both teams to score 62% ( -2.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.83% ( -3.96) | 40.17% ( 3.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.46% ( -4.22) | 62.54% ( 4.21) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.22% ( -3.76) | 21.78% ( 3.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.02% ( -6.08) | 54.98% ( 6.08) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.26% ( 0.01) | 20.73% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.64% ( 0.01) | 53.36% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.38) 1-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.48)2-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.74)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.58)3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.47)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.52)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.41)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.33)Other @ 2.6% Total : 37% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.76) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.3)0-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.78)3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.3)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.6) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 1.23)0-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.97)1-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.31)2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.51)1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.2)Other @ 2.87% Total : 39.14% |
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