Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 53.74%. A win for Chelsea has a probability of 25.56% and a draw has a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (6.58%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Chelsea win is 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.54%).
