SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.27%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Manchester City |
34.52% ( -0.3) | 22.77% ( -0.06) | 42.7% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 65.68% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.81% ( 0.23) | 35.19% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.8% ( 0.25) | 57.2% ( -0.25) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.22% ( -0.05) | 20.78% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.57% ( -0.08) | 53.43% ( 0.08) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.91% ( 0.24) | 17.09% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.71% ( 0.42) | 47.28% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.58% 3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.98% Total : 34.52% | 1-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.77% | 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.13% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.27% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.34% Total : 42.7% |
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