Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.27%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Manchester City |
34.52% (![]() | 22.77% (![]() | 42.7% (![]() |
Both teams to score 65.68% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.81% (![]() | 35.19% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.8% (![]() | 57.2% (![]() |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.22% (![]() | 20.78% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.57% (![]() | 53.43% (![]() |
Manchester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.91% (![]() | 17.09% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.71% (![]() | 47.28% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona | Draw | Manchester City |
2-1 @ 7.74% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.58% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.38% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.06% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.58% 3-0 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.9% ( ![]() Other @ 2.98% Total : 34.52% | 1-1 @ 9.86% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.84% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.55% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.11% ( ![]() Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.77% | 1-2 @ 8.71% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.27% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.13% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.03% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.26% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.27% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 3.34% Total : 42.7% |
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