Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Manchester United had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Manchester United win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
