SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 16.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Leicester City |
63.81% ( -1.04) | 19.59% ( 0.27) | 16.6% ( 0.77) |
| Both teams to score 56.75% ( 0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.08% ( 0.27) | 37.92% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.82% ( 0.28) | 60.17% ( -0.28) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.73% ( -0.19) | 11.27% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.12% ( -0.42) | 35.88% ( 0.43) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.96% ( 1.11) | 36.03% ( -1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.18% ( 1.11) | 72.82% ( -1.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.28)1-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.26)4-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 2% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.09)Other @ 4.34% Total : 63.81% | 1-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.16)0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.59% | 1-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.43% Total : 16.6% |
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