SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 77.2%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 8.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.48%) and 1-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.88%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (2.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Southampton |
77.2% ( -0.18) | 14.53% ( 0.12) | 8.26% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 47.72% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.13% ( -0.45) | 35.86% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.05% ( -0.5) | 57.95% ( 0.49) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.4% ( -0.14) | 7.6% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.81% ( -0.36) | 27.18% ( 0.36) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.65% ( -0.2) | 48.35% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.51% ( -0.15) | 83.48% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.85% Total : 77.2% | 1-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.76% Total : 14.53% | 0-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 8.26% |
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