Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Southampton
42.86% ( -0.34)	27.06% ( 0.14)	30.08% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 49.25% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.2% (

-0.47)

55.8% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.07% (

-0.38)

76.92% (

0.38)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.22% (

-0.39)

25.77% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.28% (

-0.52)

60.72% (

0.52)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.35% (

-0.1)

33.64% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.7% (

-0.11)

70.29% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 42.85%

Southampton 30.08%

Draw 27.05%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.85%	1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.05%	0-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 30.08%