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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Leicester City |
36.63% ( -0.09) | 25.15% ( -0.02) | 38.23% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 57.22% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.65% ( 0.1) | 46.35% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.37% ( 0.1) | 68.63% ( -0.1) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.21% ( 0) | 24.79% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.64% ( 0) | 59.36% ( -0) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% ( 0.11) | 23.92% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.86% ( 0.15) | 58.14% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Leicester City |
| 1-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 36.63% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2% Total : 38.23% |
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